01
Read and understand
Read the counterexample and preregistration guides. Use public literary or fictional material, defining criteria before reading outcomes.
02
Practice
Classify judgments as specific, vague or unscorable. Record successes, failures and missingness, and consider the effect of feedback.
03
Output and reflection
Output: an all-outcome exercise with explicit limits on supported conclusions. Identify one judgment vulnerable to hindsight and explain where later information could affect it.
Personal study record; not a grade, assessment or credential.
Editorial study material · 2026-09-28